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Why didn’t megafauna go extinct in Africa?

29 Sunday Mar 2020

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 39 Comments

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Africa, Australia, Eurasia, ice age, IQ, megafauna extinction, race

Have you ever wondered why we have to go all the way to Africa to see a safari? For Africa is the land of 13000 lb elephants and 18 foot tall giraffes.

But what many do not realize is that 40,000 years ago, the whole World looked like an African safari. North America and Eurasia were home to Pachystruthio dmanisensis, a flightless bird that stood 11.5 feet tall and weighed nearly a 1000 lbs.

image found here

North America was also home to the short-faced bear which stood up to 14 feet tall, weighed about 1700 lbs, and could run up to 40 miles per hour. And of course who could forget the 13000 lb mammoth, which lived on every continent except Australia.

Emily Lindsey writes:

Scientists call these giant animals “megafauna” (mega = big, and fauna = animals). We still have megafauna in the world, but there used to be a whole lot more of it. In fact, it appears that having a large number of large-bodied animals in an ecosystem is actually the normal state for our planet, at least for the geologic era we are living in today, the Cenozoic (or “Age of Mammals”) . But sometime in the past 50,000 years (very recent geologically), everywhere except for Africa, most of those large animals became extinct. And we still aren’t sure why!

Some scientists think megafauna survived in Africa because humans evolved there so large animals had more time to adapt to us. However members of the genus Homo have been living outside Africa for 2 million years, so Eurasian megafauna had time to adapt to us too. Another theory is that megafauna were killed off by the extreme climate changes that megafauna endured outside Africa.

But in asking why megafauna went extinct everywhere except Africa, politically correct scientists are forced to ignore the elephant in the room (pun intended): HBD. If Arthur Jensen was correct about the black-white IQ gap being genetic, perhaps Africans simply hadn’t evolved the intelligence to hunt large game.

But that can’t be the whole story. If racial differences in IQ evolved because we needed more intelligence to survive the non-tropics, how were Australian aboriginals (who retain a tropical phenotype) able to kill off 100% of their giant mammals? Migrating from Africa to Australia means their ancestors must have spent some time in the non-tropical ice age Middle East. Was this enough time for them to evolve the intelligence to hunt big game or was the big game in Australia simply easier to hunt because it had not had the time to evolve ways to avoid humans?

If cold climate selected humans were especially evolved for hunting big game, and if the big game on continents where humans had never been were especially bad at evading human predators, then these two factors predict the biggest megafauna massacre of all should have occurred in the Americas where both conditions were met: cold adapted hunters (humans entered the Americas from Siberia) entering a continent where humans had never been.

And indeed that seems to be the case. Paleo-biologist Rebecca Terry at Oregon State University says “pretty advanced weaponry was definitely present, and the extinctions in the New World in North America and South America were really extreme as a result.”

11,000 years ago (shortly after modern humans entered the New World), the average weight of a non-human mammal in North America was about 200 pounds compared to only 15 pounds today.

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Robert Mugabe’s IQ

02 Wednesday Oct 2019

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 78 Comments

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Africa, education, IQ, Robert Mugabe

photo taken July 1, 1984. ALEXANDER JOE/AFP/Getty Images

Several people have asked me to estimate the IQ of late Zimbabwean leader Robert Mugabe.

According to the latest research by Richard Lynn and David Becker, the average IQ of sub-Saharan Africa is 69 however I would argue that if the data is limited to the most culture reduced tests (and I don’t mean the Raven, which is deceptively culturally loaded), it would be about 80 (UK norms/white norms). It’s important to use the most culturally reduced tests when comparing populations separated by time or space, otherwise you get ridiculous results like average IQ increasing by 7 points a decade as happened in Holland on the Raven test.

80 is 20 points the white mean of 100. If black Africans average 20 points below white populations on truly culture reduced tests, then perhaps their leaders average 20 points below the white leaders of mostly white countries.

Publicly available data suggests U.S. presidents have an average IQ of 130 (with an SD of only 12 compared to the national white SD set at 15), so let’s say black African leaders have an average IQ of 110 (SD also 12).

However Mugabe was not just any black African leader. He was exceptionally well educated, even by the standards of World leaders.

To compare Mugabe’s education to other African leaders of his generation, I found a list of the oldest presidents in Africa and tried to determine how many degrees each had. Excluding non-black leaders, the 8 oldest held the following number of degrees:

Paul Biya 4, Manuel Pinto da Costa 0?, Alpha Condé 2?, Arthur Peter Mutharika 2, Hage Geingob 3, Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo 0?, Emmerson Dambudzo Mnangagwa 2?, Alassane Ouattara 3.

The mean is 2 with a standard deviation of 1.41

So with an astonishing seven university degrees Mugabe is 3.55 SD more educated than even a group as elite as African presidents

In sub-Saharan Africa, the correlation between culture-reduced IQ and education appears to be 0.52, but in a group as homogeneous as African presidents, it would likely be lower. What is needed is the IQ vs education correlation among a specific occupation (African Presidents).

On page 345 of his book Bias in Mental Testing, Arthur Jensen shows the partial correlation between IQ and education, that is the correlation holding occupation constant. This correlation is listed as 0.27 to 0.42 (see below). Let’s split the difference and say 0.35 and assume the same correlation in Africa..

Assuming Mugabe is 3.55 SD more educated than the average African president, the partial correlation predicts his IQ would be 0.35(3.55 SD) = 1.24 SD higher than the average African presidents.

Assuming African presidents have a mean IQ of 110 with an SD of 12 (see above), this would put his expected IQ at 125 (higher than 95% of white America).

All we can say with 95% certainty is that his IQ would be anywhere from 103 to 147. One reason for thinking he’s in the upper end of this range is that he was a Marxist, and left-wing politics are positively correlated with IQ (at least if you control for race and income).

Whatever his IQ, it would have likely been substantially higher had he been born and raised in the United States, where First World nutrition would have allowed his brain size to reach its genomic potential.

One caveat to the above analysis: usually education is measured by highest degree obtained, not number of degrees. How this might affect the correlation with IQ is unclear.

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