Early Tuesday morning I checked Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll and it had Clinton at 45% and Trump at 43%, and I thought, if even a poll as Trump friendly as Rasmussen had him losing to Clinton right before the election, it’s unlikely he will win. I knew that he would turnout the white working class more than most polls predicted, but with changing demographics, I didn’t think there’d be enough of them for him to win. I also figured they’d be negated by huge turnout in the Hispanic community.
But I guess the tie breaker was blacks, who probably turned out at much lower levels than they had for Obama.
Trump must be so incredibly happy. One Trump expert on TV was saying that a lot of Trump’s rhetoric against the elite stemmed from the fact that he was never truly accepted by other rich people, who looked down on him for being a philistine. Perhaps his constant boasting about his wealth and elite education was not just savvy marketing, but an attempt to prove himself worthy.
Well tonight Trump took his revenge by rising to a level of power, far above other elites. Mark Cuban and Michael Bloomberg must be pulling their hair out in jealousy.
On The O’reilly Factor, Geraldo Rivera suggested that Trump ran for President as revenge for Barack Obama “humiliating” him at the white house correspondence dinner.
Trump has made them all eat humble pie.
His ego is going to be worse than ever, since he’s proved all the pollsters, politicians and pundits wrong, without any political experience whatsoever.
I just hoping he doesn’t destroy the legacy of the first black President by killing what some consider his greatest accomplishments: The Iran nuclear deal (which some feel prevented WWIII) and Obamacare.
Meanwhile one can’t help but feel sorry for Hillary. All her life, she had largely one goal: become the First woman president. She tolerated the humiliation of her husband’s affairs and even lowered herself to taking orders from Obama for 4 years (the freshman senator who dethroned her) all in an effort to reach that life long prize, and just when she had it in her grasp, it was taken from her again.
Just goes to show that no matter how smart you are, the Presidency is not really something you can strategize your way to decades in the future. You just have to be the right person for the right time, and smart enough to recognize it, and not screw it up.
It also shows regression to the mean. For the Clintons to have reached the white house even once was an incredibly rare achievement, akin to winning a massive lottery, so to expect to be able to repeat that, is really pushing your luck.
Pumpkin Person 
Trump will be a disaster on tax policy, financial regulation, energy policy, environment, millitary spending and I think Obamacare needs to be fixed, not flayed.
The democrat filibuster in the Senate will stop the most egregious crap.
And of course, Trump has said he will ‘knock out ISIS’, and leave Assad in place, which benefits Iran. Ripping up the Iran deal is dumb. But Hilary would have found a way to invade Iran anyway I guess.
Good article. Lots of insight!
Trump may or may not be a disaster, but I think the greater good is in draining the swamp (if he gets it done).
The worrisome thing is the republicans now control the house, senate, and pres all because people were motivated to keep Hillary out.
Hillary had everything going for her… all the MSM networks, the FBI, wall street, most of the female vote, and still couldn’t win. She mishandled info and didn’t even get a slap on the wrist while anyone else would have went to jail. People didn’t like her as a person. Trump, though far from perfect, was at least authentic.
It’s shocking that Trump supporters, probably mostly boomer-men, outnumbered the Millennial women and all minorities. I don’t think it’s true. It’s more likely that Trump supporters’ lack of numbers was offset by a greater motivation to vote, which contributed to the wins in the senate and house.
Hillary had everything going for her… all the MSM networks, the FBI, wall street, most of the female vote, and still couldn’t win
I disagree that Hilary had the MSN networks in her back pocket. Trump has had pretty much nonstop publicity from everyone, everywhere, all the time for the past two years if you believe that all publicity is truly good publicity. And who is there to now argue with the results?
There’s just no way Trump would have been the GOP candidate, let alone won the election, if opportunistic scumbags like Jeff Zucker didn’t force him down the throats of American viewers after shrewdly calculating “Hey, this asshole is a sound bite gold mine!”
Trump had constant publicity because they constantly attacked him. The media was for Hillary.
Somewhere
” You won the battle … but you are losing the war ”
I got much of US dollars in my portfolio. The only thing is to keep watching the situation closely. Brutal pro-Trump propaganda in local media here in Russia (for still unclear reasons) is one thing, but no one among more or less serious people here expected this, of course.
Gonna visit Miami beach in 2 weeks , btw
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0010028516300585
off topic
Oh my
Is it
Is the pupil size
Predict “intelligence”!!!!
My pupil must be gigantic!!!
Few minutes after
What?? Hihihihihihihihi
Why I have the impression that “intelligence research” is mostly studied by non so intelligent people???
All the time is not the intelligence of the human BEING but the intelligence of the WORKER.
Pupil size predict cavernous term “fluid intelligence”, a non-verbal /nom crystallized intelligence isn’t?
But you can be fluidly verbally intelligent/good to argue/to debate for example.
same happened at UK brexit. trump was like 1-2 percent behind and this psychologically pressured his supporters to go to vote, while Hillary supporters were relaxed.
“But I guess the tie breaker was blacks, who probably turned out at much lower levels than they had for Obama.”
It’s called, “Live by the sword, die by the sword.” Black democrats selected her as the Democratic nominee in the primaries, then failed to turnout in sufficient numbers in the general.
They said that blacks votes for Trump as well as Mexicans and that turned the tide.
It was pretty much a forgone conclusion at around 10 pm eastern time. I was surprised it happened as well. Couldn’t believe it.
But I guess the tie breaker was blacks, who probably turned out at much lower levels than they had for Obama.
This was my first thought as well. Well, along with “Wow. we have even more disenchanted, uneducated white trash than I even realized.” And that’s saying a lot, given how cynical I am.
The rabble have spoken. I’ve made this comment before but I’ll say it again: Bill Maher is right. Americans get the politicians they deserve. We have the president you’d expect a country with an average IQ of 97 to have.
And that’s a possible follow up blog entry for you, PP: What is the IQ of the average white trash Trump supporter? Not the Wall Street republicans who have every reason to support any GOP candidate, but the people who either work at Home Depot or wish they were still working at Home Depot now that their job has been automated or outsourced. Polls reveal 90 percent of Trump’s male demographic in certain red states are not college graduates; gasp.
What is the IQ of the average white trash Trump supporter?
More college educated whites voted for trump than clinton.
More college educated whites voted for trump than clinton.
Even if I could accept that at a face value—and according to the L.A. Times, Trump and Clinton tied for that demographic’s support—said voters are not representative of the Trump supporter mean. Trump beat Clinton in the white voters without a college degree demographic 2 to 1, so if one were to analyze the IQ of the voters responsible for electing Trump, that seems a good place to start.
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/trailguide/la-na-election-day-2016-exit-polls-sizable-shift-in-white-1478644311-htmlstory.html
Here’s something for you Philosopher.
http://www.mediaite.com/online/poll-trump-leads-clinton-among-non-college-educated-white-men-by-a-whopping-59-points/
Vacuous elitism from one who brags unironically about watching Bill Maher.
“but the people who either work at Home Depot or wish they were still working at Home Depot now that their job has been automated or outsourced.”
Haha, yeah, fuck those ppl, right? Who cares what they think? Losers!
Are you in here, Tez?
I actually think the commenter sounds like a non-white bigot against whites. And he wonders why they voted for Trump?
If the Trump supporters on this forum are any guide, there’s also a lot of IQ 140+ people voting Trump. I know I would have.
What about the non-white IQs of african americans, latinos etc?
I would put money on the average IQ of Trump supporters being slightly higher in fact than Hilary voters (but Jill Stein probably has the highest IQ ones, even given the fact that voting for her was a low IQ move if you are of liberal persuasion).
“If the Trump supporters on this forum are any guide, there’s also a lot of IQ 140+ people voting Trump. I know I would have.”
There might be a lot of truth in this. Many alt-righters are well-versed in foreign affairs & are onto the Zionist takeover. I consider myself a provisional Trump supporter for this very reason. Trump might turn out to be a tool, but Hillary has already proven herself to be one.
Hmmmm. COHENcidence!?
Hmmmm. COHENcidence!?
Please don’t use that kind of rhetoric here. I get that politically incorrect humour is funny, but it makes you look like an anti-Jewish racist, not a serious scholar of HBD.
Constructive criticism or scholarly analysis of Jews is fine, but this kind of broad innuendo isn’t nice.
Understandable. Please redact that. You’re right.
For someone who claims to be apolitical, you sure make a lot of political comments.
“For someone who claims to be apolitical, you sure make a lot of political comments.”
Right. I posted the video because it seems that the Simpsons have predicted a lot of things. I should change what I said. I’m becoming apolitical.
As I said to you previously, I don’t think individuals can influence politics. I don’t let my political views (what’s left of them) influence my views on HBD or the like.
“I don’t let my political views (what’s left of them) influence my views on HBD or the like.”
Me neither. I like for my empirical knowledge, HBD included, to inform my politics, not the other way around.
Overall a good day to be alive.
Next independence movement will be the French election and the re-run of the Austrian election.
Don’t get ahead of yourself. Trump needs to be held accountable for what he’s said. If he doesn’t do anything this win is meaningless.
True. Good point.
More important than IQ is neuro profile of voters i.e where they lie on the psychopath/schiz v autist spectrum. What their hormonal profile is like. Their age and propensity to clannishness v high affective empathy.
IQ doesn’t explain everything. It explains a lot. But less so than those other factors for a person’s life outcomes. Having a low IQ won’t make you a social outcast like some of those others.
”psychopath/schiz v autist spectrum”
depending the behavioral characteristics you are looking for, autism spectrum will be more near to schizo spectrum as well psychopath will be more distant to schizo.
Psychopaths because their overwhelmed lack of affective empathy tend to be quite realist. Yup, they use this natural advantage to their own disturbing goals.
It’s not all schizophrenics who are creepy lunatics, in the true, seems a minority among them, and a significative minority if they were compared with neurotypicals. Many schizophrenics, seems, because their mental issues, tend to become significatively vigilant about themselves, about manifestations of the schizophrenic symptoms.
Many to most of autistics and even schizophrenics are invariably normies, those who follow rules created for ”superior’s”.
Most of psychopaths, not. Most psychopaths/and anti-social roses are not subconsciously followers of others… only if this have clear personal advantages.
Psychopaths, and specially high functioning ones, seems quite good to understand the nature of evil, and this understanding seems to be more effective than understand only the nature of kindness even because evil has been more constant and impactant, specially in natural world, with food chain.
I saw Trump’s victory coming. I mean, I wasn’t 100% sure, but it made sense to me. I figured there was no way the polls would be completely accurate, given that a lot of whites wouldn’t admit to voting for Trump. And given increasing racial tension/resentment/partisanship, Trump’s election makes sense. Because ultimately this isn’t about Trump, but about the issues he brought into focus (political correctness, white working class resentment, the national/global elite).
I just checked my Facebook feed. Pretty everyone on both sides of my family is despondent, except for my one crazy uncle who went for Trump. Most of the minority people I’m friends with on Facebook (a lot of Asian and South American immigrants) are despondent, too. One white liberal friend of mine says they might be leaving for Canada or going to therapy.
What this means for the future, I don’t know. As a black man, I don’t think my day-to-day life will change. I am actually somewhat excited about a Trump presidency. I hope he does reduce immigration and fix our trade deals.
Will this election open up further discussion of racial/gender/class taboos, particular those regarding IQ and genetics? Probably, and that’s only a good thing, because instead of people talking about such taboos in a furtive manner on blogs like this one, people can have an adult conversation, face-to-face, and acknowledge what most people already accept, on some level. Enough of this political correctness BS which creates more anger and resentment from all sides.
More extreme outcomes of this election may be reversal of Obama’s policies (as Pumpkin mentioned, and very possible), the actual building of a wall (which I think is somewhat unlikely), more policing in urban neighborhoods (possible), and increased conflict with other nations (likely, not actual wars though).
Domestically, could this lead to an up-rising of white nationalists/supremacists? Who knows. I don’t think most whites are that angry….yet. Although it has emboldened people like David Duke. I don’t foresee a return of Jim Crow or a race war, but do think race relations will change somewhat in a way most people are not predicting…
Well, after ending on that ominous note, I’m glad you’re taking off moderation Pumpkin!