Analogy is an important part of human thought, so to estimate when aliens will invade Earth, I extrapolate from 2 relevant analogies:
When were Neanderthals invaded by Homo Sapiens?
When were Native Americans invaded by Europeans?
It’s estimated that Neanderthals and Sapiens shared a common ancestor about 500 kya and that Neanderthals colonized Europe 300 kya and then were invaded (in large lasting numbers) by our species, Sapiens, about 42 kya.
Thus it took 200,000 years for future Neanderthals to find Europe since splitting from future Sapiens and then got to live there in peace for 258,000 years before being invaded by their distant relatives. So in this case, they had 1.29 times as much time to enjoy their homeland as they did to emerge in it in the first place.
Meanwhile, it’s estimated Native Americans and Europeans shared a common ancestor 41 kya and that Native Americans colonized the Americas 15 kya and then were invaded by Europeans about 0.5 kya.
Thus it took 26,000 years for future Native Americans to find the Americas since splitting from future Europeans, and they had 14.5 kya to enjoy it before being invaded. Thus 0.56 as much time.
Applying the same logic to humans and aliens is tricky since we don’t share a common ancestor, but we do share a common origin; and assuming there are no intelligent aliens in our solar system, that common origin is the emergence of our galaxy itself about 13.61 billion years ago and 9.91 billion years later, we began living on Earth.
So how long will it take our alien “relatives” to hunt us down and attack us? Using the invasions of Neanderthals and Native Americans as analogies, it should tale between 1.29 and 0.56 of 9.91 billion years so between 12.8 billion and 5.5 billion years.
So given that we’ve been on Earth for 3.7 billion years, that gives us another 9.1 billion to 1.4 billion years to live in peace, with the best estimate being 5.25 billion years.
Thus it makes perfect sense that we haven’t been invaded yet and have more to fear from a nuclear holocaust, a meteor and climate change than we do from alien invasion.
Who needs the Drake equation when we got the Pumpkin equation?
Pumpkin Person 
Interesting and plausible (imo).
A really horrifying thought occurred to me ~7 years ago. I believed that I had found the hidden hand of a superhuman malevolent intelligence in our history.
May I ask why you didn’t use the geometric mean of 1.29 and 0.56 (not that it substantially alters the conclusion in this case)?
Didn’t occur to me to use it.
domestication of animals produces greater variation in hair color and texture and eye color.
sadly.
…After eight to ten generations, the tame foxes began to develop multi-colored coats, a trait found more in domesticated animals than in wild ones; this was followed by the development of “floppy ears and rolled tails similar to those in some breeds of dog”. After 15 to 20 generations, a very small percentage of the tame foxes developed shorter tails and legs and underbites or overbites…Many of the domesticated foxes had floppy ears, short or curly tails, extended reproductive seasons, changes in fur coloration, and changes in the shape of their skulls, jaws, and teeth. They also lost their ‘musky fox smell’.”
negroes do smell bad. FACT!
Nick Wilde and the Amazing Technicolor Dreamcoat
“A really horrifying thought occurred to me ~7 years ago. I believed that I had found the hidden hand of a superhuman malevolent intelligence in our history.”
You can’t just stop there without providing more details.
There’s really not much to the story. It was a valid inference from (probably) false premises.
Isolation is one hell of a drug.
True inferences can be made from false premises, although never vice versa.
What’s are the premises and the inference rule?
“True inferences can be made from false premises, although never vice versa.”
Das stimmt.
“What’s are the premises and the inference rule?”
Event X happened. Event X was brought about by some intelligent agent(s). Event X could not have been brought about by humans or any agents less intelligent than humans. Therefore, some superhumanly intelligent agents brought about Event X.
It’s not really an argument, just the movement of my thoughts during a pretty bad episode of derealization.
Obviously, pumpkin has not met the DMT machine elves yet.
Or the monolith in which they reside.
He definitely does not know what is inside.
Interdimensional cable – Rick and Morty
even if aliens had the intelligence they would need the physical resources and the physical make-up to find ways to circumvent their issues in regards to space travel.
for example if there is nothing they can build their spacecraft out of in their planet or maybe they are hyperintelligent sea creatures that cant walk upright then will not be able to travel at all!
Wheres my comments?
peepee hasn’t made them up yet.
I haven’t been following it closely but it looks like the millitary generals have done a coup in Pakistan and are locking up the president under bogus charges. Some people are comparing that to the US’ investigation of Trump but the sad truth is that the Pakistani generals act more in the national interest than the [redacted by pp, 2022-08-26] rulers of America living in Manhatten.
“manhattan” has no “e”s. sad.
Youre very pedantic about spelling errors. Its a strange trait you have.
You’re clearly not pedantic about apostrophes, Pill. It’s a strange trait you have.
human life is so cheap.
I read a bunch of Anne Coulter articles and was surprised that she hates Trump and thinks hes a conman lol. Yeah shes probably right. But its also true he hates immigration so hes useful.
Thinking about buying Ron Unz American Pravda book.
^^^autism^^^
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/aug/25/andy-murray-wants-serena-williams-us-open-farewell-to-be-a-celebration
Serena has the upper body of many male boxers or pro wrestlers. Hahahaha.
when were europe and south asia invaded by aryans, by mongols?
Next post will be titled: I am an alien and Earth is now mine. I’m going back to my planet leaving Oprah in charge.
If I read the blog and comment sections more thoroughly I would’ve realized a lot of my ideas are anything but new.
The highest prevalence rates are seen in the Inuit populations of Greenland (5–10%), Alaska (3–7%), and Canada (about 3%). European descent prevalence ranges from 0.2% to 0.05%. There is a lower prevalence reported in African Americans and Hispanics compared to Caucasians.
as might be expected. and inuit eating a traditional diet should have no caries. none.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sucrose_intolerance#Epidemiology
fat, black, and small headed is no way to go through life oprah.
LOL! I must admit Mug of Pee has a photographic memory.
He forgets NOTHING.
I use a line from ANIMAL HOUSE against him which he ignored at the time, but then years later, out of nowhere he adapts it against Oprah.
I wish she did have a small head so I wouldn’t have to be so invested in her legacy.
I’d be free.
I’d finally be free:
Its always been a bit strange the way horror movies have so many sequels. This isn’t the case to anywhere near the same extent with any other genre of movie. I had no idea there was a Psycho II, let alone 3. Maybe theres 4 or 5?
Horror movies haven’t been profitable since the 1980s heyday with some notable exceptions (which also get a billion sequels).
Slashers repeat the same formula more than other films so lend themselves to sequels
Robert Englund has played Freddy Krueger about 100 times.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psycho_(franchise)#Box_office_performance
Ok Im wrong theyre all profitable except the last one in the series. Maybe we’ll see a reboot soon.
perkins died from AIDS. he caught it from oprah.
With slashers, there is only one formula to repeat.
Free to have the most wonderful time, free at last, Great God Almighty, we are free at last.
Mug is actually a goddamned supergenius. I.Q. of 260
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Do you know the Hellraiser series Puppy? That was my favourite when I was younger.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hellraiser_(2022_film)
Oh my god they are destroying the franchise. They’re making pinhead a woman and the lead character a woman. WTF. Losers. This is something Puppy would do to a legendary horror franchise…replace everyone with black women.
Puppy’s idea of a great horror movie is having a big headed black woman be chased around by white supremacist zombies. He’d love that.
I was listening to a young Jewish director complaining that blacks were banned from Pumpkin Head 2 because studio execs were afraid they would kill the overseas box office. Finally the Jewish director was able to sneak a black in as director of photography or some other behind the scenes job.
I personally don’t like to see blacks or lower class whites in my horror films unless it’s Oprah who made the highest brow horror film ever & cast herself in the lead:
blacks are very good actors pp.
Is “Pumpkin Head” where you got the username pumpkinperson from?
No, I haven’t even seen it.
I’m going to make a prediction and that is Rupert Murdoch will get a phone call and be told to take Tucker off the air. There is no way Tucker can confront the Deep State like this openly. It hasn’t been done since JFK and we know what that outcome was.
Yeah I never disagreed with Mugabe that the FBI told the media to censor the Biden laptop scandal and this had a great effect on votes. But the election was counted fairly (I think).
he’s part of the deep state dummkopf. he applied to the cia. his dad was part of the deep state. he axed hunter biden for a recommendation for one of his chirren.
No not really. He would be considered a gentile elite. Not quite deep state enough i.e. ashkenazi jewish enough.
in general lighter skinned indians are poorer. so why the colorism in india?
