For over 14,000 years Native Americans must have looked out at the ocean and asked “are we alone on the planet? Is there intelligent life on other continents? We must be alone; we’ve been looking at the ocean for 14,000 years and no intelligent life has ever come our way. We are alone on the planet”
Then one day in 1492, they were invaded by another intelligent life form known as the white man.
What does this tell us about life on other planets?
If it took 14,000 years to be visited by intelligent life that Native Americans shared a common ancestor with only 41,000 years ago, then this suggests it takes 34% of the time since two populations diverged for one of the populations to find the other.
Thus if our galaxy is 13.6 billion years old, any other intelligent life will share a common cosmic non-living source with us about 13.6 billion years ago. Thus it should take them 0.34(13.6 billion) = 4.6 billion years to find us. Life has only been on Earth for 3.7 billion years, so I expect aliens to discover us in about 900 million years.
Pumpkin Person 
Hi
Im a happy Reader fromm Germanistan.
I enjoy your Blog a lot.
Player keep up the good work because there might Not be intelligent life from other Planet s among US but you are Not alone on Thors earth.
The sad part is that philosophers about schizophrenia/autism is his subconscious belief that people with IQs below 115 cant read minds because that is the IQ level for Autism. 115 can get college degrees but these people in his eyes are just incapable. They cannot read the devil’s chessboard and all that. College stuff that he is at least 120 at. But he makes excuses for sub-115 IQ, they can socialize instead of reading minds. Somehow this is less autistic and it is but sometimes people don’t want to do that and it’s the other people’s fault.
but this is about reading others’ minds socializing doesn’t count. 115 is the minimum. To read minds means to know what they will do next. This includes reading books and listing to music, and television.
The problem is to not think but perceive what is presented. Get into a flow. Not to get stuck. Increase processing. Just raise a certain IQ.
The average IQ has 20 processing points less than the philosopher. This is why he calls everyone autistic.
Aspergers Verbal > Processing (20)
Autism Verbal < Processing (20)
Phil is autistic – has something wrong with verbal communication.
Phil only gives simple answers
yes im from San Diego! yes ive lived in other places but i rep SD!
Pumpkin the censorship will not work here! i will attract only positive vibes!
this one goes out to Pill who thinks i like blacks only! Latin Pride Brown Pride always!
Are you going to keep banning everything I say to Anime?
The problem is not autism. The problem is low IQ.
reading minds just is a high IQ trait
Phil refuses to go into specifics like processing speed and visual/spatial of autism.
Am I allowed call Anime [redacted by pp, 2022-08-25]
You already have many times so No.
Where did you get the 14,000 number from?
It’s how long Native Americans were in Americas before being invaded.
So where does the 41,000 number come from?
The date when Europeans and Native Americans last shared a common ancestor
Pumpkin I know you think youre rational but your logic is so flawed!
Your life is based off correlations and nothing more!
Kinda off topic but…
PP this is basically one of your blog post IQ estimates. I can’t believe this got published. Nice CI there!
“Absolute IQ score inference based on variance explained by intelligence PGS (5.2%) with mean of the trait of 100 and SD of 15 demonstrated following scores for ancient individuals: for the 1402 SNPs PGS Funadomari Jomon individual IQ = 101 (95% CI = 72.58–129.74), while Afanasievo mother’s IQ = 89 (95% CI = 60.96–118.12), Afanasievo father IQ = 94 (95% CI = 65.2–122.36). Afanasievo sons scores were located between the maternal and paternal scores where Son1’s IQ = 92 (95% CI = 63.17–120.3) and Son2’s IQ = 90 (95% CI = 61.54–118.7) (Fig. 2A).”
https://www.nature.com/articles/s10038-022-01039-8
edumacational achievement is intelligence for dumb pipo with autism.
sad.
https://www.forbes.com/pictures/mfg45gdkf/billionaire-phds-21/?sh=228905b238a8
schmidt is a hired hand. john malone is a conservative gentile media baron.
21/400 = about 5% of the 400 richest americans have doctorates. when the heirs and hired men are excluded it’s less. how much less?
During an October 2015 podcast, Mark Schultz revealed that when du Pont was about thirty years old, a horse he was riding threw him onto a fence, resulting in injury to his testicles. They became infected and had to be removed, resulting in androgynous characteristics for the remainder of his life.[8]
Not just Phds. It seems all the highly educated billionaires (JD, MD, Master Degree etc) are from very wealthy families.
this came 9 years after the Mayan apocalypse was supposed to happen! at least someone noticed!
I think the worst aspect of these UFO-alien conspiracy theories is that they insult the technological capacity of the supposed extraterrestrial visitors, and show a concomitant lack of imagination. These beings can cross interstellar distances just to keep tabs on pond life like us, and they do so with… low-flying aircraft which can be photographed by any schizo with a Kodak?
>and show a concomitant lack of imagination
No, you’re just not looking hard enough.
The Falun Dafa cult believes aliens guided humanity’s technological progress for the sake of eventually cloning the human form, which the cult founder Li Hongzhi claims to be the most perfect within this universe for our ability to cultivate and eventually become higher dimensional beings, so that they could transfer their souls into it and also somehow reap the same benefit as us. He explains this is possible because the gods responsible for dealing with reincarnation consider a cloned human to be an abomination and thus refuse to have anything to do with it, allowing empty human vessels to be stolen without any outside interference or grave karmic consequence. He also claims that our outermost cells, the material that makes up our representation within this dimension, are becoming that of aliens because of our increasing reliance on these alien technologies, which we increasingly culturally and physically assimilate into ourselves.
It’s funny how Falun Dafa can be reduced to, “Fuck the CCP, support Li Hongzhi, spread the cult, and become culturally independent.” Also an incredibly paranoid and high-strung Asian culture.
If these are truly schizophrenics then outlandish explanations that completely disregard the concept of any system necessarily restrained by physical laws, or any principle or logic except what is most convenient to remember and work with, would be common place. And it would be creative.
Similar to how the sasquatch is thought of as a spiritual being one could channel.
?????????
Change the definition of alien from a physical being to a spiritual one and create a cosmology that explains their existence. That’s what a schizo would do.
A few years back, in a conversation I’d had with a young, self-assured Chemical Engineer, the matter of extraterrestrial visitation arose. His position was clear from the outset: interstellar distances are so vast as to render such travel impossible. Notwithstanding the obvious and begged question “Is this trip really necessary?”, my suspicion was (and remains) that this is a perspective shared by most Physicists, Astrophysicists, and Astronomers. From my perspective, however, “unfathomable” and “impossible” are not synonymous. One may not know how, or even if, interstellar travel is possible; one does not therefore know that it is not. Put differently, a lack of evidence of possibility is not evidence of impossibility.
We seem desperate for certainty, so much so that we cling to our models of the world, of reality. As if bedazzled by our own brilliance, we lose our vision, our sense of possibility. I am reminded of a simple, though remarkable toy called “The Levitron”. In essence, it is the physical embodiment of an answer to the question “Using ordinary permanent magnets, how does one stably levitate one such magnet above another?” The problem is one whose solution most in the scientific realm characterize as “relatively simple”; yet, until late in the twentieth century, the consensus among physicists as to the prospect for permanent magnet levitation could be summed up in a word: Impossible! In 1983, a heedless and most tenacious tinkerer named Roy M. Harrigan realized the impossible and patented what was to become known as the first spin-stabilized magnetic levitation device – the prototypic Levitron – employing essentially nothing more than permanent magnets. And, as if to furnish a line of cosmic poetry with an exclamation point, in 1984, a college drop-out named Joseph Chieffo, unwitting as to Harrigan’s brilliant, but still obscure, invention, produced his own distinct, spin-stabilized permanent-magnetism-induced levitation device. History is replete with seemingly impossible discoveries by inspired pioneers who are simply too passionate and intuitively attuned to be impressed by “impossibility”.
“His position was clear from the outset: interstellar distances are so vast as to render such travel impossible.”
I think any civilization technologically capable of crossing interstellar distances would have enough internal cohesion and spare spacecraft to plan extremely lengthy voyages. This is assuming that they aren’t capable of faster-than-light travel.
Yes, I agree. I sometimes wonder, however, if the supposition that interstellar “visitation” invariably entails travel may someday be viewed as stiflingly “parochial”.
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I don’t think the American Indians had a world view that allowed for people arriving from across the ocean. They thought the earth was flat and had no conception of other continents. Any nonstandard being would be assumed to be a god or magical creature from whichever mythos. They had a magian, magical worldview.
As for life from other planets, my view is that intelligent life probably does exist, but is so rare they could never get here, and likely could not even make radio contact within the given distances/time scales.
Consider: our solar system congealed about 8 billion years ago and that’s roughly how long it took us to evolve. The universe is only 14 billion years old. How long has the universe been cool enough for conditions for carbon based life forms to emerge? I imagine not much longer than 10 billion years or so. (I’m researching this question now actually.) So I bet life on other planets, being a slow macroscopic phenomenon, is not much older than it is on earth. We have only been sensitive to electromagnetic radiation and aware of the scope of the universe for about 100 years. Our intergalactic brothers are probably similar. Maybe god planned it that way!
I want pp to estimate my iq.
You can believe in HBD and also believe in Diamond’s stuff. Of course you can. Silly puppy lol.
Some people claim alien life has already visited us. The US department of defence has released footage of a number of UFO incidents officially.
I remember when I was younger reading conspiracy theories on Rense that basically our governments have secret treaties with aliens. Theres a prominent guy in the ‘secret government bases with aliens’ world named Phil Schneider who has some work on the topic. https://www.amazon.co.uk/PHILIP-SCHNEIDER-whistleblowers-overwhelming-evidence/dp/B08C8R9V2Q
I never read his work. I saw a presentation he made where he showed the audience some alleged extraterrestrial materials.
It is alleged the government assassinated him in 1996 because he was saying too much.
Are the strange metals found in human skin still inexplicable?
The best estimate for the likelyhood of a civilization is from the type of star we are around and the fossil record. If we were the only civilization to ever occur, we’d likely find ourselves around a larger red dwarf or smaller, late generation G star some 50 – 70 billion years after the big bang. However, we’re here – just some 10 Gy after the first heavy-element planets appeared. The fossil record shows even jumps – each about 0.5 – 1 Gy appart, mostly limited by the oxygen concentration (i.e. depth of oceans and plate activity). This tells us that we’re quite rare but not unique, expect about 1 technological civilization per 1000 – 1000 000 MW-sized galaxies. The aliens are unlikely to be biological or technical, most likely AI based on news physics. Even our machines are poised to discover new physcis – within a century or two – and they won’t stop at theory. They’re not going to kill us – they’ll move us so close to death that we won’t be able to die.
Life never spontaneously forms. The complexities of the simplest forms of life are exactly that: too complex to accidentally occur. Even scientists have realized this, attempting to organize all the elements.