I’ll be live blogging the election. Check this page throughout the day & night for updates.
Update 1:27 pm Eastern: Back in 2016, the last poll I looked at before the election was Rasmussen which showed Hillary up by a couple percentage points nationally (which was technically accurate since she won the popular vote). I figured Biden was doing way better against Trump than Hillary did, so to my surprise, Biden is leading only 1 point: 48% vs 47%.
Update 2:22 pm Eastern: The Washington Post reports:
Biden leads Trump by 10 percentage points nationally, 52 percent to 42 percent, according to an average of national polls since Oct. 26. Biden’s margin in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin is nine points. It’s five points in Pennsylvania, five in North Carolina, four in Arizona and three in Florida.
Update 8:43 pm Eastern With 49% of the vote in, Biden is beating Trump in Ohio 55% to 44%. No Republican in modern times has ever won without Ohio.
Update 9:06 pm Eastern Biden beating Trump 73 to 48 electoral votes. 270 needed to win.
Update 9:27 pm Eastern Both men tied at 49.3% in Texas
Update 9:43 pm Eastern Looks like Biden’s lead in Ohio has shrunk down to 49.5% to 49.2%.
Update 10:04 pm Eastern Trump now leading in Ohio: 50.8% vs 47.9%
Update 10:16 pm Eastern Trump now leading in 3 of 4 battleground states
Update 10:25 pm Eastern Trump now leading in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Florida. Biden leading Arizona. This is disturbing because the polls predicted Biden was ahead in all of these places.
Nov 4, 2020
Update 2:18 pm Eastern: All Biden has to do now to hit 270 is maintain his lead in Michigan, Arizona and Nevada. Pumpkin Person is now officially calling the race for Joe Biden. He will be the next President of the United States.
Pumpkin Person 
which is actually better for the eventual [redacted by pp, nov 3, 2020] revolution? a second term for trump or a kamala presidency?
i voted for howie hawkins.
lots of plebiscites/referenda in oregon too. voted liberal on all those.
but whenever it was just a D and R and/or L i wrote in [redacted by pp, nov 3, 2020].
and judges i wrote in “HUGO BLACK”.
————
trump has exposed the incompetence, venality, psychopathy of the elite and that at least half my fellow americans are NPCs.
https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/Sve7de2cGY0XHug.iuYb2A–~B/aD05MDA7dz0xMjAwO3NtPTE7YXBwaWQ9eXRhY2h5b24-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/patch_hosted_articles_700/be76bcea0ff35d12cb342f67afbfc4c4
I would’ve voted for Howie but I’m actually intelligent enough to understand he had less of a chance than my fucking dog.
Vox Day thinks Trump has it in the bag.
CURRENT VERDICT: early returns look VERY solidly pro-Trump. It’s all but over already.
Reports:
Biden running 1.2 percent behind Hillary so far.
FL all voting: Rs +56,009. Broward, election day only: Ds up 2300, Palm Beach, election day only: Rs +12,000 (!)
Trump seriously overperforming in Miami-Dade, up 4.4 percent vs 2016. FL r/d: Rs +92,692 Rs +14,000 in . . . PALM BEACH on election day.
There are only four blue counties on election day. One is D by only 14 votes, one by 48 votes, one by 1070 votes, and Broward by 3,294. We are 4,426 votes from having every FL county red today.
At noon, Trump ALREADY has more votes in Broward County than he did in 2016: 204,368 to 193,658.
As of 1 PM, more votes had been cast in FL than were cast in 2016, 9,967,361 to 9,420,039. Donald Trump currently has an estimated lead of 116,422 which exceeds his 2016 winning margin of 113,000.
“Starting to fall down the Florida election day turnout rabbit hole. Already went for a run so I think I’d just better go and play some FIFA or something.” – Nate Silver
the “story” is that in-person voting is dominated by trumpistas, but mail-in voting is dominated by bidenistas.
this seems too simple, but the “story” is also that the in-person votes are tabulated before the mail-in and therefore at midnight it will appear trump has won in a route.
polls are not as objective as i used to think. all of them are “adjusted” and have to be…because a random sample of registered voters can be very UN-representative of actual voters.
And to get a representative sample of actual voters, they look at who voted in the previous election. Because non-college whites had been a smaller percentage of voters in 2012, they underestimated their turnout in 2016. But now that they know how much Trump increases turnout in this demographic, polls should be more accurate which is very bad news for Trump since he’s trailing by 10 points in the average of polls & by several points in key states.
Exactly Pumpkin. which is why I too will start playing Fifa.
But now that they know how much
who’s “they” and what’s “how much”?
trump voters were way higher than hillary voters in median income.
and obviously way way Ai Weiwei above hillary voters in median wealth.
Trump’s voters were largely white males (a high income demographic) but if you control for race and gender, things change.
i voted straight GOP just to stick it to the rioters and the retards and sociopaths sympathetic to them
this is NPC behavior.
NPC is an alt right term meaning non-playable character. They use it as a way of describing so called ‘sheeple’ or the people that believe in ‘The Narrative’. Is this the way you mean it?
I bet they’ll know how you stuck it to them, too.
if trump loses it will NOT be because he’s a “racist, homophobe, russian stooge, blah, blah, blah”. it won’t be because CNN. CNN only convinces a few white real housewives of orange county and albanian american personal trainers.
if trump loses it will be because he loses with whites who previously voted for obama.
the winner will be known tonight if…
one of a set of states is called for either candidate.
if one element of {PA, MI, WI} is called for trump, then trump wins.
if one element of {AZ, FL, NC} is called for biden then kamala wins.
Accurate.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8909537/Joe-Biden-starts-election-day-attending-morning-mass-visiting-son-Beaus-grave-Delaware.html
PA LOVES BIDEN!
1. i meant “rout” not “route” obviously.
2. “PA is philly at one end, pittsburgh at the other, and ALABAMA in the middle.”
[redacted by pp, nov 3, 2020]
notice peepee didn’t endorse anyone this year.
this is because peepee is an extreme racist and wants kamala despite obvious low IQ psychopath.
no I don’t want kamala to be president. Deflects attention from big brained Oprah’s status as the ONLY black or self-made woman to reach the top of America. Although Kamala’s not really black.
So you are indeed a racist Pumpkin!
Not surprising (based on your dispositions as a person) but the fact that you try to be vindicated from the accusation is totally appalling. Shame on you Pumpkin shame on you!
🙂
oregon has had vote by mail for everything forever and it favored the dem in the …
my dad told me about it …
there was a jew with a jd from uo, so not very smart vs a gentile who’d inherited a frozen green beans bidness…
and the jew won beause mail-in?
wyden (not to be confused with wieden) vs ???
so pdx has a half year of retards and people living inside ginat TVs + it has Red Ice and the FBI says it’s the epicenter of militias.
easy. it’s putin again! pdx had a big russian community before 1991.
who can deny that lana lokteff is the sexiest 41 year old woman on the planet?
Red Ice is based in portland? Figured it was european.
If was american i I would have voted on biden not because him but because tramp. He is another white trash who has insuficient reasonableness to really govern nations like Uass.
Trump had a superficially good economy results but about the rest obviously including current pandemic situation in “Amerca”…
All the time is the same shit
We are dependent on rational level of avg white people. Just look at how emotionally umbalaced and/or philosophically alienated most white people are whatever their ideological side??
Youre starting to annoy me with all this anti-white talk. Just remember white people are the only race that tolerate gays in the open next time you whine about white behaviour.
Historically speaking many peoples from far east and americas accepted human sexual diversity before european echoioid influences.
Very recently that thanks for jewish intervention & secularization, psychotic whitey were forced to tolerate a way more sane culture than believe in angels and genocide innocents.
…
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/national/for-many-native-americans-embracing-lgbt-members-is-a-return-to-the-past/2019/03/29/24d1e6c6-4f2c-11e9-88a1-ed346f0ec94f_story.html%3foutputType=amp
the aryan advantage is size…brain size.
fischer was “robust”, but he had a small head.
I would probably vote Biden because as much as I like Trump on immigration, every single other policy position he has, or he has by default, is plutocrat. Its not a strong preference mind, Trump winning would be good too for political reasons, not policy ones.
Its not even close, he is nearly 10 points ahead. The real drama is if Trump declares victory anyway and forces violence on the streets.
The other day I was reflecting on the theory that establishment dems like pelosi et al are actually bribed to facilitate ‘moderate republicanism (+ id pol’). Jimmy Dore keeps saying she made 200m while a member of congress….if thats true the party should kick her out immediately.
I thought about the Gore Bush thing and the way the dems just accepted the courts hackneyed election decision instead of possibly doing what Trump is about to do and then how Biden/Clinton and co. rolled over for the Iraq War which was obviously illegitimate.
Eventually Wikileaks is going to dish out a whole load of hacked emails showing the establishment dems are puppet opposition.
instead of possibly doing what Trump is about to do
which is what?
if trump loses AZ and wins PA, a possibility i didn’t consider, he still wins in the house.
Bernie is a horrible politician, but a great activist.
I’m somewhat surprised the jewish establishment disowns him. I wonder what their thoughts were when Lieberman was denied the vice presidency in 2000. Lieberman ticks all the right boxes for them.
I.e. he is more of a neocon than Cheney. Would be hilarious to watch the two of them debate foreign policy….
“NO..I LOVE ISRAEL HARDER”.
cheney is not a neocon, he’s a neocon puppet. he was probably blackmailed/bribed
Comparison: Fictional Characters Ranked By IQ
i think i just heard cucker refer to miami-dade’s hispanics as non-white.
uhhh…most of them are cubans…cubans are very white as lations go and very republican because cuba’s communism.
They’re not white to me
but south asians are?
wtf does that mean?
european vs non-european is an arbitrary boundary
when people say “white” they mean un-mixed european. they don’t mean caucasian or aryan.
Some people define white more narrowly
my middle school spanish teacher was very white and was born in cuba. he was tall, fair, and had blue eyes.
Your first crush
Predictions:
– The American public will lose
– Some rich assholes somewhere will win
– In the short term, idk
– In the long term, nothing will change except for the worse
– Nobody is going to acknowledge that the Chinese Originated Virus Disease is a mild respiratory infection and therefore old people should stay inside while the rest of us go about our daily business with face masks on and regularly washing our hands
– Politics will continue to revolve around the careers of politicians whichever handful of hot-button issues grab the dull masses’ microclockic attention spans, rather than offering real solutions to real problems
– Biden will probably take the Electoral College by a moderate margin, but [redacted by pp, nov 3, 2020]
– Trump is going to bitch and moan and whine about it and probably try to bring in the military to keep his petulant dictatorial Sunkist-bleached ass in power
– Idefk at this point
20% of the people who get coronavirus go to the hospital. I’d hardly call that a mild infection.
Can you understand that that despicable White trash are destroying the world by profit????
All this FALSE WORLD whitey have created
This eternal bread and circuses
9:35 PM: Betfair odds at about 70% for trump winning.
10:10–80%
as of 10:10 ET one site claims trump is now -775 to biden’s 475. in other words it’s over and trump has won.
but odds every 10 minutes may be just be due to fluctuations in bets if no oneis watching. like if in the last 10 minutes the trump bets were much greater than the biden bets this would drive up trumps odds.
https://mondoweiss.net/2020/10/in-pre-election-rush-trump-oks-u-s-funding-of-science-projects-in-illegal-israeli-settlements/
i call AZ for biden and therefore the election for biden.
unless AZ is counting the mail-in votes first. the trump people claim the day-of votes are 80% trump.
i call NC and OH for trump.
3:42 am i called it.
peepee then copied me with absolutely zero commentary.
but trump actually won in terms of votes. he gained with all voters except people like peepee who never went to college and think they’re white.
but the whole election is kayfabe.
and trump is merely playing his role in the professional wrestling drama.
among other things, “ballot stuffing” means ballots filled out by dem operatives with the possible signature of the person who couldn’t care less.
I copied cnn which I was watching on my lunch break. They said if Biden just held his lead in 3 states, he’d hit 270
this is possible as AZ has been stuck at 75% reporting for a while and polls closed at 9 ET.
nebraska’s 2d district went for trump last time but only barely. so even if trump wins PA he may lose by 2 electors. i predict he will certainly win maine’s 2d district.
Wow, the media really fucked me in the ass with the 10 point margin crap. I can’t believe I fell for it after what happened last time. That said the postal votes take up to 3 days to count in some places.
And much of the mail vote is for Biden
it’s odd that oddsshark has biden at -500 but had trump at -775 last night.
it seems like an easy 20%. borrow all the money you can and bet on biden. if 75% of your wager is borrowed you’ll double your equity in a few days.
Neonazis and socialites have lot alike isnt??
Frivolity
is mette frederiksen a nazi?
you know santo that the few actual nazis left mostly live in brazil, right?
”is mette frederiksen a nazi?”
why
Socialites and nazis only think about appearance.
In “democracy” stupid and psychotic white trash have the same vote parity than a highly reasonable person likely to score comparatively better in IQ TESTS.
Another gif of longtime erratic white “philosophy” .
It’s becoming very clear that whitey are mostly irrational…
Specially conservies
wish that global warming give to Florida what’s deserves
white tra$h is pathetic
This is pure WHITE privilege
https://mobile.twitter.com/guardian/status/1323906999705309184
remember those NPCs’ slogan “no blood for oil” prior to the iraq invasion?
1. that’s not what the war was about.
2. if anything is worth fighting for it’s oil.
idiots!
you can hear limbagh weezing. you may hate him, but his last months seem to demonstrate he really believes his own bs.
as i’ve proposed before…
i think trump voters (or non-biden voters) are bimodal vs IQ.
i think you can see this very easily.
but i can guarantee this will never be reported on. what will be reported is “trump’s base is morons.”
the trend is clear.
i was in my car listening to limbaugh and turned it off before he explained…
but…he was right…
why?
AZ is red.
https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2020-us-presidential-election-results-live-map
I officially called it for Biden. It’s over.
i did it before you did peepee-tard.
and he gained with everyone except white trash.
i did it before you did peepee-tard.
Lol. So childish
the election was stolen in the old fashioned way…ballot stuffing.
but trump will do nothing about it.
It wasn’t stolen. If anything the polls predicted a greater loss
The polls? It’s called a happenstance; a coincidence. And yes, it was stolen, Pumpkin. There are several statistical anomalies in this election: Biden having the most votes in history, Wisconsin having more votes than registered voters and 5.5 SD turnout, and swathes of new votes being entirely for Biden without a single strand of deviation.
Trump was the only one trying to steal this election
The extra Wisconsin numbers were from people who registered the same day they voted. Also the number of registered voters used in that factoid was from 2018.
The large swathes were actually a result from clerical error that added an extra “0” to the number.
Also I’m not sure why you’re surprised about the turnout. This is arguably the most controversial election in history.
surprised sailer and blow don’t realize that if it really is true trump gained with every demographic then his losing any state he won last time is unlikely. it would require greater turnout from biden favoring demographics or maybe the number of electors has changed in 4 years or lower turnout from trump demographics.
Lol if you’re going to bitch and moan about a “stolen election” then at least avoid the path of objective misinformation by blaming it on Trump not kicking out all the Mexicans. You know you want to
Too lazy to look for this right now, but it’d be interesting to know if most of the Obama-Obama-Trump voters voted Biden or stayed home. High turnout in MN, MI, WI suggests the former, but idk.
pumpkin, is rhetoric correlated with logic ability? Verbal IQ seems not to measure rhetoric, but if verbal iq is correlated to writing, then it should stand to reason that rhetoric is correlated with logic. English classes in school are essentially exercises in rhetoric. Philosophy seems to lend itself more to logic solely, while something like politics lends itself to a mixture of logic and rhetoric.
So, essentially, I can see someone well spoken having a high verbal, but a non well spoken person need not have a low verbal.
Sailer seems pretty angry about the election and the country in general. He hasn’t been like this since the start of the migrant crisis in 2015.
Mercan vote election is unnecessary complex or dumb. Why not just count popular vote??
Often states with biggest populations are disproportionately influent on popular vote.
Merca is dumb even in its minimal details.
In mercan democracy candidates are primarily chosen by (parasitical) richy peuple then populace is invited to play its character. That’s why Burnie’s Sands has been systematically forbidden to dispute this shitshow. Because he is a real outsider. different than tramp.
Mercan election way is even dumber than democracy that is dumb anyway. Modern democracy is based on supposed wisdom of masses as if opinion’s majority were sacrosaint.
Fake or very superficial mercan democracy is dumber
Modern democracy itself is dumb
Whitey world is a false one. It’s massively theatrical.
The lines between what is entertainment and what is serious has been blurred since its very beggining.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ParkerMolloy/status/1324119016072503297
I coined the term intellectocracy. Democracy and any human ideological line are based on “What’s the ideal”. The ultimate ideal is that smarter people govern nations and not tramp or forBiden. Avg Joey loves entertainment. Unfortunately very reasonable people tend to be introverted. Democracy show is the popularity contest and not real competence.
In short, everything wrong specially thanks for delirant aeryans…
Stop
Instincts
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54823860
El País is surprinsingly (or not) better to cover american elections than BBC. Check it out to compare. Its availability to see most relevant informations is way more better than on BBC.
https://brasil.elpais.com/
OnPT of course
https://www.currentaffairs.org/2020/11/the-2020-election-result-completely-discredits-the-democratic-leadership