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Rand rant

06 Sunday Jul 2025

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 321 Comments

Tags

books, fantasy, fiction, politics, writing

[The following is a guest post by Ganzir and does not necessarily reflect the views of Pumpkin Person]

Source from where I got Atlas Shrugged and all quotations from it in this article: https://archive.org/details/in.ernet.dli.2015.458873

“When you work in a modern factory, you are paid, not only for your labor, but for all the productive genius which has made that factory possible: for the work of the industrialist who built it, for the work of the investor who saved the money to risk on the untried and the new, for the work of the engineer who designed the machines of which you are pushing the levers, for the work of the inventor who created the product which you spend your time on making, for the work of the scientist who discovered the laws that went into the making of that product, for the work of the philosopher who taught men how to think and whom you spend your time denouncing.”

“The machine, the frozen form of a living intelligence, is the power that expands the potential of your life by raising the productivity of your time. If you worked as a blacksmith in the mystics’ Middle Ages, the whole of your earning capacity would consist of an iron bar produced by your hands in days and days of effort. How many tons of rail do you produce per day if you work for Hank Rearden? Would you dare to claim that the size of your pay check was created solely by your physical labor and that those rails were the product of your muscles? The standard of living of that blacksmith is all that your muscles are worth: the rest is a gift from Hank Rearden.”

Ayn dear, if I were paid for all the productive genius which made that factory possible, I would need to spend a lot less time pushing levers and have a lot more time to spend denouncing you.

No, I would never dare to claim that the size of my paycheck was created solely by my physical labor, but neither should Hank Rearden claim that the size of his paycheck was created by any one person. Rand’s insight that infrastructure is a force multiplier is correct, but she was hardly the first person to think of it, although she might have been the first person to make the non-sequitur leap that this means capitalism good altruism bad. If you were digging a large hole by hand, and I gave you a shovel, you would become more productive because you could move dirt more quickly with the shovel than without it. However, you still had to put in work to move that dirt, so we both contributed to completing the job, which should be finished by throwing your copy of Atlas Shrugged into that hole and covering it back up. The upshot of these two paragraphs from John Galt’s raving is that, if I sit on my ass in the shade drinking lemonade while you dig that hole, then I dug the hole and you should thank me for the hard, hard work of sitting on my ass.

We all stand on the shoulders of giants, and also on the shoulders of dwarves. When I flip on a light switch, the light bulbs in that room would not turn on if there were nobody working at power plants. That should not be a surprise. The conveniences we tend to take for granted would vanish without people doing the work to keep things running behind the scenes. Rand’s mistake is thinking that the mega-capitalist keeps everything running behind the scenes. SpaceX would not exist if it could not draw on the innovations made by NASA, so Elon Musk is as indebted to the federal government as our rail-worker is to Hank Rearden, if not more so. Don’t you think Rand would object to that statement, truth be damned? If she were still alive, and she wanted to confront me in person, would her route to my house take her across the Interstate Highway System, which was sponsored by the federal government?

A gift from Hank Rearden? Notwithstanding that dubbing force multiplication a “gift” is uncharacteristically pro-altruistic coming from Aunty Ayn, this ignores the fact that Hank Rearden’s steel company (more like steal company) cannot function without the machines, scientists, and pushable levers that Rand thinks increase the wages of rank-and-file workers. Hank Rearden should thank them for his paycheck, not the other way around. Also note that, by equating the size of the laborer’s paycheck with how many tons of rails he makes each day, Rand implicitly claims that doing more work gets you paid more. I think we all know that, in real life, the correlation between how much work you do and how much you get paid is negative. Corporations tend to suffer from a condition, which might be called staff infection, wherein blue-suited meeting-attenders are remunerated an order of magnitude more than the blue-collared work-doers who, you know, actually do work.

How can Rand think that holding stock in a company implies that you had a share (pun intended) in all the work done by employees of that company? She even wrote, “the industrialist who built it”, as though Hank Rearden personally laid down every inch of track his company owns, possibly because she read a phrase like, “President Eisenhower built the Interstate Highway System”, and took it a teensy-weensy bit too literally. Yet even that pales in comparison to

lauding, “the investor who saved the money to risk on the untried and the new”, who must be sweating blood from the back-breaking work of throwing a fraction of their spare cash at a high-risk investment while the rest goes into Treasury bonds. I suppose Rand’s reconciliation would be that, in her fayntasy world, there exists a one-to-one correspondence between Ubermenschen and tycoons. Please cross-reference a list of Nobel Prize winners with a list of Fortune 500 CEOs and see for yourself how much they overlap. In fairness, the book’s copyright page does say, “Names, characters, places, and incidents either are the product of the author’s imagination or are used fictitiously…”. Rand’s most imaginative act when writing Atlas Shrugged was naming the book after how much it weighs.

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The most worshiped men & women of 2024

10 Friday Jan 2025

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 1,297 Comments

Tags

Donald Trump, joe-biden, kamala-harris, news, politics

For decades it was part of my New Year’s tradition to google Gallup’s most admired poll to see who the most admired man and women of the previous year was. You see, virtually every December since 1948, Gallup had been asking a representative sample of American adults to name (without prompting) the LIVING man and woman in the entire World they admired most (prior to 1948 they just asked the most admired person). Then without warning, the poll seems to have suddenly ended in 2020 (because Donald Trump dethroned Obama as the most admired man?). What a shame to end a 72 year tradition over petty politics, so with the help of survey monkey, I took over the poll myself on representative samples of Americans at the end of both 2023 and 2024.

Despite some media describing Barack Obama as the biggest loser of 2024 (given the defeat of the Democratic party and the backlash he endured from black men on social media) he towered as the most admired man in the entire World with an astonishing 17% of Americans naming him their most or second most admired living man. Obama was more admired than President-elect Trump (8%) and Elon Musk (7%) combined which is both a testament to Obama’s God-like status, and to the fact Musk has effectively seized half of what would normally be the President-elect’s support. They’re not calling him “President Musk” for nothing.

Despite this, Trump still enjoyed twice as much support as sitting President Joe Biden (4%), perhaps the only sitting President in the history of the poll to never be the most admired man or the most admired self-made man.

On the female side of the poll there is no clear winner, with both Kamala Harris and Michelle Obama tied with 11% of Americans naming either as their most (or second most) admired woman. But Harris can outright claim to be the most admired self-made woman since unlike the First Ladies who typically top the female side of the poll, she is admired in her own right, instead of standing in her husband’s light.

Most admired man (Dec 2024)Most admired man (Dec 2023)Most admired woman (Dec 2024)Most admired woman (Dec 2023)
Barack Obama 17% (self-made)Barack Obama 14% (self-made)Kamala Harris 11% (self-made)
Michelle Obama 11%
Michelle Obama 12%
Donald Trump 8%Donald Trump 9%Oprah Winfrey 5% (self-made)
Hillary Clinton 5%
Oprah Winfrey 7% (self-made)
Elon Musk 7% (self-made)Elon Musk 5% (self-made)Malala Yousafzai 3% (self-made)
Catherine, Princess of Wales 3%
Dolly Parton 3% (self-made)
Hillary Clinton 3%
Kamala Harris 3% (self-made)
Dolly Parton 3% (self-made)
Jill Biden 3%
Pope Francis 4% (self-made)
Joe Biden 4% (self-made)
Jimmy Carter 4% (self-made)
Keanu Reeves 4% (self-made)
Brett Cooper 2% (self-made)
Melinda Gates 2%
Gisèle Pelicot 2% (self-made)
Mary J. Blige 2% (self-made)
Candace Cameron Bure 2% (self-made)
Selena Gomez 2% (self-made)
Alicia Keys 2% (self-made)
Candace Owens 2% (self-made)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 2% (self-made)
Bernie Sanders 2% (self-made)
Warren Buffet 2% (self-made)
Bill Gates 2% (self-made)
Joe Biden 3% (self-made)
Jeff Bezos 2% (self-made)
Jackie Chan 2%(self-made)
Bill Gates 2% (self-made)
Gavin Newsom 2% (self-made)
Arnold Schwarzenegger 2% (self-made)
Sylvester Stallone 2% (self-made)
Bernie Sanders 2% (self-made)

With Presidents and first ladies dominating the poll, it seems to be a good measure of what most people consider “power” in the conventional sense, and indeed in a putative democracy like the United States, the most popular, should be the most powerful. But the winners of this poll are not merely popular (and in some cases actually have low approval ratings) but rather they are the most worshiped (admired more than virtually any human on Earth) by what was until recently, the World’s sole super power, and thus these people are essentially Gods. Especially the “self-made” ones, because God, by definition, would be the only thing that literally made itself.

So let’s take a look back at the most worshiped men and women each year, within the World’s top super-power; arguably the most powerful man and woman each year (self-made and legacy). Note that all the polling was done by Gallup except for 2023 and 2024 when I rescued the abandoned poll via survey monkey. For every year self-made status was decided by me.

The most striking thing I notice about the poll results below is how consistently white the poll winners were before the 21st century. Despite being over 12% of America, it was simply unthinkable that a black could be the most worshipped man or woman (self-made or legacy) in a country as powerful as America. Then in 1997, Oprah shattered the color barrier in the self-made woman category, followed several years later by Colin Powell in the self-made man category. However Powell like Barack Obama are at least half-Caucasoid. Sadly, there’s no evidence that ANY true black in World history has ever been the most worshiped man or self-made man within the most powerful nation of any time. Only among the less powerful sex have the truly black (Oprah, Michelle Obama) been able to recently attain God status.

*Note the female half of the poll was not given in 1967, and the entire poll was not given in 1975 & 1976.

*Note 2020 was the last year Gallup conducted the poll but I resurrected it in 2023 via survey monkey.

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Revisiting Kamala Harris’s IQ

17 Thursday Oct 2024

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 11 Comments

Tags

bar-exam, kamala-harris, LSAT, politics

Of America’s 76 million baby boomers (alive or dead), only three grew up to be President of the United States (so far). If we crudely assume being President is the pinnacle of power, the Presidency puts you at the top one in 25 million level. The median U.S. president would therefore be at the one in 50 million level in power (normalized Z = +5.47). Very tentative data suggests the average IQ of U.S. Presidents is 137 (+2.47), thus suggesting the regression slope predicting IQ from power = +0.45 (very similar to the correlation between IQ and lifetime income).

Biodemographic prediction

As of 2019, there were about 65 million Americans in Generation X, and assuming they resemble Americans as a whole, about 1.8% are Afro-multiracial, which gives 1.17 million people. On a scale where white Americans average IQ 100 with a standard deviation of 15, black Americans average 85, and “pure” U.S. blacks average 80, Afromultiracials would average about 90. If there were a perfect correlation between IQ and power, we’d expect Kamala Harris to have an IQ 72 points higher (one in 1.17 million) than the average Afromultiracial, however since the correlation is only 0.45, we’d expect her to be 72(0.45) = 32 points above the average IQ 90 Afromultiracial, or roughly 122. If true this would put her intelligence in the superior range, though the lower end there of.

However guessing someone’s IQ from only their race and power is unwise. What is needed is actual test data.

Psychometric confirmation?

Harris has no publicly known IQ scores so we’ll have to settle for the bar exam as a crude measure of her intelligence.

Snopes.com reports:

So she scored lower than 72.2% of California law students, suggesting she was in the bottom 27.8% of law students. However the LA Times reports:

So when we subtract that 4,909 people like Harris who took the test the first time, we see 2,088 were repeat test takers (which Harris would become the next year). How many of the repeat takers passed like Harris would the next year? Subtract 72.2% of 4,909 from 59.5% of 6,997. In other word, 619 out of 2,088 or the top 30%.

So despite being in the bottom 27% of all law students for not passing the first time, Harris was in the top 30% of that bottom 27% for not failing a second time. In other words she’d be around the 19th percentile of law students.

“The average national LSAT score for full-time, first-year JD enrollees for fall 2022 was about 159” according to bestcolleges.com. The 19th percentile would be 0.87 standard deviations less so about 150 given the SD on the LSAT is 10. A 150 LSAT would equate to an IQ of 111 or roughly 116 (U.S. norms) in Harris’s day when the average IQ of college grads and by extension, LSAT takers was higher. This converts to 114 using white norms, so 8 points lower than expected for America’s most powerful hybridized black, but still higher than 82% of white Americans.

Of course the Bar exam is not an actual IQ test so this remains only a rough guestimate.

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Quick correction to Obama’s IQ

12 Saturday Oct 2024

Posted by pumpkinperson in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

law-school, LSAT, politics

After playing the decisive role in electing America’s first black President, America’s first multibillionaire black accepts her medal.

In a previous post I argued that Obama reportedly scored 43.5 on the LSAT, and that since the ratio of whites to blacks in this score range is about 99 to one, it can be deduced that his score equated to an IQ of 129, since that’s the expected ratio of whites to blacks in this IQ range.

However such ratios assume a perfectly normal curve in both races and in fact there might be more blacks with high IQs than the normal curve predicts, because like Obama, many black Americans are not only largely white genetically, but even their black ancestry is hyper-elite, descended from the most educated immigrants, and not from the slave trade.

Because these atypical blacks could skew the numbers, I decided to equate the 1980s LSAT to IQ using the same technique Ron Hoeflin used to equate Mega Test scores to IQ: score pairing.

Using data from nine people with reported scores on both the 1980s LSAT and tests with known IQ equivalencies (SAT/Mega Test), placing scores in rank order from highest to lowest and then equating scores of equal rank, I obtained the following formula for equating the tests:

IQ (U.S. norms) = [(LSAT – 41.5)/4.5](13) + 142

Applying this formula to Obama’s LSAT score of about 43.5 gives an astonishing IQ of 148 (U.S. norms); also 148 (white norms).

The notion that Obama has an IQ pushing 150 is consistent with what Lion of the Blogosphere has been arguing for years, which he based mostly on the fact that Obama graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law. Though ironically, Obama’s LSAT IQ of 148 would actually have been below the Harvard Law average which at the time would have been about IQ 152.

However given that Harvard Law class was constructed to have an average IQ of 152, they would have regressed to the mean of all LSAT takers (IQ 116) and thus average IQ 138 (U.S. norms), and assuming Obama did not regress (since his score was a random sample of his ability and not an intrinsic property), or regressed to a much higher mean (the mean of self-made Harvard Law star Presidents who wrote first rate memoirs) he’d tower over his classmates intellectually.

However a self-proclaimed former CIA guy claims Obama scored IQ 128 on the WISC IQ test as a child, which after corrections for the Flynn effect, becomes 124. This too is a very high score, but nowhere near 148.

Assuming a 0.61 correlation between the LSAT and the Wechsler, then an LSAT IQ of 148 and a Wechsler IQ of 124 give a composite IQ of 140. Perhaps this is our single best guess.

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